> [!IMPORTANT]
> **AI Assist Note (Knowledge Heritage)**:
> This document is part of the "Sovereign Reality" documentation.
> - **@docs ARCHITECTURE:Core**
> - **Failure Path**: Information drift, legacy terminology, or documentation mismatch.
> - **Telemetry Link**: Search `[market_trend_analysis]` in audit logs.
>
> ### AI Assist Note
> 📊 Directive: Market Trend Analysis (SOP-STR-02)
>
> ### 🔍 Debugging & Observability
> Traceability via `execution/parity_guard.py`.

# 📊 Directive: Market Trend Analysis (SOP-STR-02)

## 🎯 Primary Objective
Deliver high-fidelity intelligence on emerging industry shifts to ensure Tadpole OS remains at the technological "Bleeding Edge." 

---

## 🗺️ Search Scope

### 1. Technological Shifts
- **Focus**: Transitions from SaaS platforms to local-first infrastructure (Sovereignty).
- **Action**: Monitor `Hacker News`, `Reddit /r/LocalLLaMA`, and academic pre-prints on agentic frameworks.

### 2. Competitive Evolution
- **Focus**: Large Language Model pricing wars and context-length breakthroughs.
- **Action**: Analyze how these shifts impact the `Burn Rate Forecast` and `Budget Guard`.

### 3. User Behavioral Patterns
- **Focus**: Increases in demand for multi-agent swarm collaboration vs. single-agent chat.

---

## 🛠️ Analysis SOP

### 1. External Scouting
- **Tool**: `search_web` for keywords like "Autonomous AI Framework 2026," "Agentic Governance Standards."

### 2. Signal vs Noise
- **Goal**: Discard temporary "Hype" (Level 1) in favor of fundamental "Architectural Shifts" (Level 5).
- **Logic**: If a trend requires a change to `ARCHITECTURE.md`, it is a Level 5 signal.

---

## 📈 Strategic Output
Report findings in `MARKET_TRENDS_[MONTH].md`. Each report must include a **Product Recommendation** (e.g., "Implement native support for DeepSeek-V3 Reasoner mode").

## 🚦 Quality Gate
Ensure all technical claims (e.g., "New model context is 1M tokens") are cross-referenced with at least two independent sources before reporting.
[//]: # (Metadata: [market_trend_analysis])
