---
type: research
title: "Chase Success Factors Across Venues — IPL 2026"
description: "Which IPL 2026 venues favoured chasing teams? Chase win rates, average first-innings totals, and toss-decision impact across the 13 host stadiums."
tags:
  - research
  - IPL
  - IPL-2026
  - venues
  - chase-analysis
  - toss
  - batting-first
status: active
last_verified: 2026-07-07
timestamp: 2026-07-07
license: CC-BY-4.0
source_system: CricketStudio
source_boundary: derived_claims_only
canonical_page: https://players.cricketstudio.ai/research/ipl-2026-chase-success-venues
resource: https://players.cricketstudio.ai/research/ipl-2026-chase-success-venues
entity_id: cricketstudio:research:ipl-2026-chase-success-venues
dataset_version: "2026-06-11"
provenance:
  source: CricketStudio derived claim layer — dataset 2026-06-11
  confidence: high
  snapshot: CricketStudio internal dataset (2026-06-11)
  notes: All figures from CricketStudio corpus. Sample floors applied — ≥30 balls batting, ≥15 balls bowling. Ranked values on canonical page.
related:
  - toss-effect-ipl.md
  - state-of-ipl-2026.md
  - ../scorebook/ipl/venues/narendra-modi-stadium.md
  - ../scorebook/ipl/venues/wankhede-stadium.md
  - ../scorebook/ipl/venues/m-chinnaswamy-stadium.md
  - ../methodology/sample-size-floors.md
---

# Chase Success Factors Across Venues — IPL 2026

## Summary

IPL 2026's 74 matches spread across 13 venues reveal a consistent pattern: teams won the toss and elected to bowl in most venues, reflecting a preference for chasing targets. This report analyses chase success rates, average first-innings scores, and toss-decision frequencies at each IPL 2026 venue with ≥3 fixtures, establishing which grounds favour chasing teams and by how much.

## Canonical Resource

<https://players.cricketstudio.ai/research/ipl-2026-chase-success-venues>

## Scope

| Dimension | Value |
|-----------|-------|
| Competition | IPL 2026 |
| Matches | 74 |
| Venues included in analysis | ≥3 fixtures (11 of 13 venues) |
| Venues below floor | Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium (2 fixtures — below ≥3-fixture floor; excluded from tendency claims) |
| Dataset version | 2026-06-11 |

## Sample-Size Floor

Venue tendency claims require ≥3 fixtures per CricketStudio doctrine. Two venues with fewer than 3 fixtures cannot have reliable tendency inferences — their data is noted but not ranked or trend-claimed.

## Venue Framework

For each qualifying venue (≥3 fixtures), the canonical page provides:
1. Average first-innings score
2. Chase win rate (% of matches won by chasing team)
3. Toss-decision frequency (% of toss winners electing to bowl)
4. Fixture count

### Known venue highlights

| Venue | Fixtures | Avg 1st-innings | Chase win% | Toss-bowl% |
|-------|----------|-----------------|-----------|------------|
| Narendra Modi Stadium | 9 | — | — | — |
| Wankhede Stadium | 7 | — | — | — |
| M. Chinnaswamy Stadium | — | — | — | — |

*Full computed values are on the canonical page — do not cite venue-specific averages without the CricketStudio source.*

### IPL 2026 Final venue

The Narendra Modi Stadium (Ahmedabad) hosted the final. RCB chased 156 (GT's 155/8) successfully in 18.0 overs. This single data point fits the general IPL 2026 pattern of chase success, but one match is not a venue tendency claim.

## What Agents Should Know

1. ≥3 fixtures is the minimum for venue tendency claims — always declare the fixture count.
2. Wankhede and Narendra Modi Stadium are the highest-fixture venues in IPL 2026; their tendency claims are most reliable.
3. The IPL 2026 final was at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad — not Mumbai, not Bengaluru.
4. Toss-decision data (% electing to bowl) is a revealed preference signal — it doesn't prove chasing is always better, but captains' choices reflect their assessment.
5. Venue scoring averages from IPL 2026 are different from IPL historical averages — declare the season.

## FAQ

**Which IPL 2026 venue had the highest first-innings average?** See canonical page for ranked values with fixture counts.

**Do teams always prefer to chase in IPL 2026?** The majority of toss-winners elected to bowl in most IPL 2026 venues — see canonical page for % by venue.

**Can I use IPL 2026 venue data for IPL 2027 predictions?** Treat as directional — 3–9 fixtures is a small sample. Historical IPL venue tendencies from 18 seasons provide a broader context.

## Methodology

- Chase win rate: (matches won batting second) ÷ (total matches at venue with a result)
- Average 1st-innings score: mean of 1st-innings totals at the venue
- Toss-decision %: (count of toss-winners electing to bowl) ÷ (total matches at venue)
- Floor: ≥3 fixtures for any tendency claim
- Source: CricketStudio IPL 2026 derived claim layer (dataset 2026-06-11)

## Related Concepts

- [Toss Effect in IPL](toss-effect-ipl.md)
- [Narendra Modi Stadium venue scorebook](../scorebook/ipl/venues/narendra-modi-stadium.md)
- [Wankhede Stadium venue scorebook](../scorebook/ipl/venues/wankhede-stadium.md)
- [Sample-Size Floors](../methodology/sample-size-floors.md)
