---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-06-29T08:06:43Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-06-29T08:06:43Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-06-29T06:03:10.244Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 344.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 155.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2262.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.413, "longitude": 159.1765}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 62.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 914.5, "id": "ru:57-5-159-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 128.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 218, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3176.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.87}, {"avgBrightness": 348.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 32.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 958.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5452, "longitude": 80.0674}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -16.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -268.1, "id": "ru:68-5-80-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:23:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 138.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 690.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.26}, {"avgBrightness": 357.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 26.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 867.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5485, "longitude": 83.2095}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -14.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -223.6, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 136.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 12, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 643.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.6}, {"avgBrightness": 335.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 191.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2750.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.1376, "longitude": 124.5052}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -153.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T02:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2242.6, "id": "ru:57-0-124-5:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.6, "maxFrp": 43.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 38, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 507.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.09}, {"avgBrightness": 315.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 158.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4642, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.2616, "longitude": 30.1725}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -32.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -4150.6, "id": "ua:51-5-30-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T01:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 22.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 126, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 491.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.35}, {"avgBrightness": 337.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 128.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3074.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.3563, "longitude": 125.8128}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -107.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:17:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2852.1, "id": "ru:55-5-126-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.3, "maxFrp": 26.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 21, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 222.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.99}, {"avgBrightness": 354.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 4.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 25.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.4744, "longitude": 77.1732}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -0.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 153.9, "id": "ru:66-5-77-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 66.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 179.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.05}, {"avgBrightness": 343.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 43.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 329.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.684, "longitude": 80.4555}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -27.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -177.3, "id": "ru:66-5-80-5:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 152.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.65}, {"avgBrightness": 346.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 18.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.909, "longitude": 79.733}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:52:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 66.4, "id": "ru:67-0-79-5:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 85.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.51}, {"avgBrightness": 310.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 13.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 61.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1436, "longitude": 37.8449}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.5, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.9, "maxFrp": 28, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0.96, "observationCount": 23, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 65.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.94}, {"avgBrightness": 310, "baselineExpectedCount": 7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 14.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8735, "longitude": 33.4238}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 21.1, "id": "ua:48-0-33-5:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 334.6, "maxFrp": 9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 14, "persistenceHours": 0.8, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 36, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.93}, {"avgBrightness": 315.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.7242, "longitude": 23.3836}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 14.3, "id": "ua:51-5-23-5:2026062906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-29T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 329.7, "maxFrp": 4.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 14.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
