---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-08-12T07:47:15Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-08-12T07:47:15Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-08-12T06:02:56.407Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 338.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 262.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 8687.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.064, "longitude": 112.257}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -239.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -8221, "id": "ru:64-0-112-5:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.2, "maxFrp": 34, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 23, "persistenceHours": 4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 466.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.3}, {"avgBrightness": 345.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 183.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5411.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.8995, "longitude": 117.5529}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -153.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T01:15:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -5042.7, "id": "ru:66-0-117-5:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 32.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 30, "persistenceHours": 4.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 368.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.81}, {"avgBrightness": 340.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 84.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 790.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.167, "longitude": 116.6513}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -59.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T01:15:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -472.2, "id": "ru:66-0-116-5:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 24.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 25, "persistenceHours": 4.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 317.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.57}, {"avgBrightness": 315, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.7359, "longitude": 37.7992}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 13, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 47.6, "id": "ua:44-5-38-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 347.4, "maxFrp": 9.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 47.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 318, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.3715, "longitude": 38.2305}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 32.6, "id": "ru:54-5-38-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T01:28:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 336.7, "maxFrp": 6.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 0.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 32.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 312.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 4.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 89.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.2676, "longitude": 34.4116}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -70.3, "id": "ua:47-5-34-5:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 324.6, "maxFrp": 3.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 12, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 19.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 2.1}, {"avgBrightness": 311.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 8.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.3785, "longitude": 22.1151}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7.9, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 6, "id": "ua:45-5-22-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T01:32:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 339.8, "maxFrp": 2.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 14.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 13.36}, {"avgBrightness": 302.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.8841, "longitude": 38.1166}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 0.9, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 0.5, "id": "ua:45-0-38-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 302.9, "maxFrp": 1.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 3.88}, {"avgBrightness": 324.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 40.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8331, "longitude": 35.0046}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -0.8, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 68.8, "id": "ua:48-0-35-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 29.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 109.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.09}, {"avgBrightness": 309, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 55.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.6969, "longitude": 29.9682}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -34.5, "id": "ua:47-5-30-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T01:30:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 322.4, "maxFrp": 3.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 20.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.26}, {"avgBrightness": 303.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 56.3135, "longitude": 22.9158}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.4, "id": "ru:56-5-23-0:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 309, "maxFrp": 1.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 1.6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 3.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 339.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 277.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 6520.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.544, "longitude": 112.41}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -269.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -6404, "id": "ru:65-5-112-5:2026081206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-12T02:02:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 348.9, "maxFrp": 16.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 116.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.67}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 3, "highRelevanceCount": 8, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 8} |
| dataAvailable | true |
