---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-13T09:45:44Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-13T09:45:44Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-13T09:03:17.489Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 338.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 49, "baselineExpectedFrp": 681.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5223, "longitude": 156.7504}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 23, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 501.7, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:57:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 97.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 72, "persistenceHours": 8.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1183.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.86}, {"avgBrightness": 339.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 44.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 426.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.8296, "longitude": 136.6577}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -7.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T02:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 547, "id": "ru:60-0-136-5:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T04:42:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.9, "maxFrp": 165.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 37, "persistenceHours": 6.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 973.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.24}, {"avgBrightness": 350.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 9.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 64.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.8935, "longitude": 90.1542}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 20.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:25:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 386.2, "id": "ru:60-0-90-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.9, "maxFrp": 38.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 30, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 450.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 46.51}, {"avgBrightness": 339.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 18.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 146.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 61.2907, "longitude": 134.1009}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 23.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:02:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 303, "id": "ru:61-5-134-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:55:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.4, "maxFrp": 28.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 42, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 449.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 3.37}, {"avgBrightness": 342.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 67, "centroid": {"latitude": 60.3052, "longitude": 132.0266}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:55:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 159.2, "id": "ru:60-5-132-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T04:42:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 33, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 5.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 226.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.25}, {"avgBrightness": 337.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 11.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 74.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.1257, "longitude": 118.8492}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:04:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 126.7, "id": "ru:66-0-119-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T04:44:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.6, "maxFrp": 25.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 200.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.14}, {"avgBrightness": 342.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 17.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 140.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.8097, "longitude": 101.8771}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:04:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 29.6, "id": "ru:68-0-102-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:27:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 11.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 22, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 170.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.71}, {"avgBrightness": 340.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 33, "baselineExpectedFrp": 301.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.8298, "longitude": 99.189}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:57:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -133.3, "id": "ru:66-0-99-0:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:27:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 26, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 168.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 338.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 15, "baselineExpectedFrp": 294.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 60.4362, "longitude": 97.6223}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:57:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -137.7, "id": "ru:60-5-97-5:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.4, "maxFrp": 58.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 12, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 156.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 335, "baselineExpectedCount": 15.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 76, "centroid": {"latitude": 61.0771, "longitude": 134.4621}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:02:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 49.9, "id": "ru:61-0-134-5:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T03:55:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 351.2, "maxFrp": 9.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 22, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 125.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.48}, {"avgBrightness": 346.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 21, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.8869, "longitude": 75.473}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T02:21:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 52, "id": "ru:69-0-75-5:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:27:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 12.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 6.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 73, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 331.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 19, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.6449, "longitude": 80.4595}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 50.3, "id": "ru:68-5-80-5:2026071309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-13T06:27:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 342.6, "maxFrp": 16.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 8.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 69.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
