---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-08-16T06:55:42Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-08-16T06:55:42Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-08-16T06:04:06.769Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 307.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 14.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 48.5761, "longitude": 31.7614}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -4.4, "id": "ua:48-5-32-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 332.5, "maxFrp": 1.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "persistent", "multi_source", "sustained", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 12.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_PERSISTENT", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 10.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.24}, {"avgBrightness": 325.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 52.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 452.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.2921, "longitude": 106.3257}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -44.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T02:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 183.3, "id": "ru:68-5-106-5:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T02:28:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 139.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 635.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.91}, {"avgBrightness": 326.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 107, "centroid": {"latitude": 49.1769, "longitude": 33.4601}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 85.4, "id": "ua:49-0-33-5:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 28.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 15, "persistenceHours": 0.8, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 192.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.16}, {"avgBrightness": 307.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 62.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1417, "longitude": 37.8365}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 14.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 107.9, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 340.6, "maxFrp": 46.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 35, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 170.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.94}, {"avgBrightness": 320.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.9134, "longitude": 23.8794}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 10, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 61.3, "id": "ua:52-0-24-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:54:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 343.1, "maxFrp": 15.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 61.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 311.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 29.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.8916, "longitude": 29.3319}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 13.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 17.6, "id": "ua:52-0-29-5:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:54:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 346.5, "maxFrp": 6.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 21, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 47.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.41}, {"avgBrightness": 315.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 4.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 33.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.2816, "longitude": 23.0155}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -9, "id": "ua:44-5-23-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 340, "maxFrp": 7.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 24.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.3}, {"avgBrightness": 309.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.3197, "longitude": 34.7475}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.9, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 7.7, "id": "ua:51-5-34-5:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.2, "maxFrp": 6.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 9, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 20.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 6.24}, {"avgBrightness": 325.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.5265, "longitude": 37.7517}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 18.3, "id": "ru:55-5-38-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 16.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 19.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 6.93}, {"avgBrightness": 306.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 25.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.5348, "longitude": 30.5839}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -12, "id": "ua:47-5-30-5:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 331.1, "maxFrp": 3.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 13.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.51}, {"avgBrightness": 311.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 32.8895, "longitude": 35.0904}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.2, "countryCode": "IL", "countryName": "Israel / Gaza", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 0.4, "id": "il:33-0-35-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:20:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 323.1, "maxFrp": 1.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 0.3, "regionLabel": "Israel/Gaza", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.86}, {"avgBrightness": 300.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.0849, "longitude": 20.0969}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.4, "id": "ru:50-0-20-0:2026081606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-16T01:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 302.7, "maxFrp": 0.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.53}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 1, "spikeCount": 11} |
| dataAvailable | true |
