---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-16T08:30:03Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-16T08:30:03Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-16T06:03:46.819Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 341.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 78.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1182.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5595, "longitude": 156.8429}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 97.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3730.9, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T03:47:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 327.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 176, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4913.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 5.62}, {"avgBrightness": 341.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 122.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3283.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8008, "longitude": 110.1824}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -50.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T02:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2423, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T03:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 36, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 72, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 860.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.43}, {"avgBrightness": 347.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 9.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 227.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5472, "longitude": 83.2101}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T01:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 67.3, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T03:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.5, "maxFrp": 79.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 294.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.16}, {"avgBrightness": 307.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 74.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5515, "longitude": 39.6208}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 8.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -4, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 8.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 29, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 70.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0.53}, {"avgBrightness": 324.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.4126, "longitude": 46.1086}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 67.5, "id": "ru:51-5-46-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 70.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 4.83}, {"avgBrightness": 324.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.426, "longitude": 30.4386}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 40, "id": "ua:50-5-30-5:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T01:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 334.4, "maxFrp": 8.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 0.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 40, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 338.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 34.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.3717, "longitude": 88.1284}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T01:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -6.1, "id": "ru:69-5-88-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T03:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 343.6, "maxFrp": 7.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 28.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 2.95}, {"avgBrightness": 308, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.3118, "longitude": 36.2151}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 8.4, "id": "ua:50-5-36-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.1, "maxFrp": 2.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 9.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 10.62}, {"avgBrightness": 298.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 48.7481, "longitude": 26.6042}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.8, "id": "ua:48-5-26-5:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T01:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 300.4, "maxFrp": 1.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 3.53}, {"avgBrightness": 302.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.6501, "longitude": 32.7008}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1, "id": "ua:46-5-32-5:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:41:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 307.7, "maxFrp": 0.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 4.69}, {"avgBrightness": 303.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.953, "longitude": 22.8655}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 0.9, "id": "ua:46-0-23-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T01:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 307.9, "maxFrp": 1.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.81}, {"avgBrightness": 298.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.3719, "longitude": 35.8354}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1, "id": "ua:50-5-36-0:2026071606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-16T00:39:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 303.1, "maxFrp": 1.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 3.9}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
