---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-14T08:25:33Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-14T08:25:33Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-14T06:03:17.959Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 348.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 34.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 249.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.831, "longitude": 110.14}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 47.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2637.5, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 206.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 82, "persistenceHours": 4.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2886.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.42}, {"avgBrightness": 353, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 17.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5494, "longitude": 83.203}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 337.6, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:47:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 126.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 4.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 354.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 3.59}, {"avgBrightness": 344.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 13, "baselineExpectedFrp": 262.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5284, "longitude": 80.0785}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 0, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 47.6, "id": "ru:68-5-80-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:47:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.1, "maxFrp": 57.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 310.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 338.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 23.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 108.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 61.081, "longitude": 134.4387}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -2.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T01:56:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 87.2, "id": "ru:61-0-134-5:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:41:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356, "maxFrp": 23.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 21, "persistenceHours": 4.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 196.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.2}, {"avgBrightness": 341.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 13.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 138.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.109, "longitude": 118.8583}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -0.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:43:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 28.1, "id": "ru:66-0-119-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:43:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 353.3, "maxFrp": 25.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 3.3, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 166.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.22}, {"avgBrightness": 318, "baselineExpectedCount": 3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.1428, "longitude": 23.196}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 16, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 54, "id": "ua:44-0-23-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T01:20:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 10.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 19, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 56.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 313.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 34.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.552, "longitude": 39.6276}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 4.4, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:33:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.4, "maxFrp": 5.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 39.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 2.95}, {"avgBrightness": 338.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.4149, "longitude": 83.624}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 34.8, "id": "ru:68-5-83-5:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:47:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 346.3, "maxFrp": 7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 2.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 34.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 331.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 17.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.2778, "longitude": 83.1223}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 13.3, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T02:47:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 338.6, "maxFrp": 8.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 30.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 3.59}, {"avgBrightness": 315.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.1593, "longitude": 37.6954}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 25.2, "id": "ru:54-0-37-5:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T01:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 345.7, "maxFrp": 8.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 0.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 25.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 308.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.3853, "longitude": 28.4624}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 4.2, "id": "ru:59-5-28-5:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T01:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 319.6, "maxFrp": 1.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 5.6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 6.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 6.67}, {"avgBrightness": 299.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 48.4127, "longitude": 37.0261}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1.7, "id": "ua:48-5-37-0:2026071406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-14T00:33:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 302.4, "maxFrp": 0.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 4.68}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
