---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-23T08:42:49Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-23T08:42:49Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-23T06:00:49.373Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 347.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 333, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4694, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.3905, "longitude": 156.6493}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 462, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 19754.9, "id": "ru:68-5-156-5:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 733.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 795, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 24448.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.8}, {"avgBrightness": 343.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.7444, "longitude": 164.4547}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 784, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 20902, "id": "ru:66-5-164-5:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 233.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 785, "persistenceHours": 2.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 20904.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 345.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 315.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5739.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5941, "longitude": 156.9207}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -53.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1806.5, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 82.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 262, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3932.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.36}, {"avgBrightness": 340.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 145.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1133.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.3187, "longitude": 149.6396}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -21.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:48:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 315.6, "id": "ru:65-5-149-5:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 133.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 124, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1448.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.2}, {"avgBrightness": 343.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 15.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 117, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.5305, "longitude": 141.7641}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 63.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1018.9, "id": "ru:66-5-142-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 63.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 79, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1135.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 32.08}, {"avgBrightness": 346.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 23, "baselineExpectedFrp": 372.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.8676, "longitude": 166.0908}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 33, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 520.5, "id": "ru:68-0-166-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 48.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 56, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 893, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.03}, {"avgBrightness": 352.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 22.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 206.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.614, "longitude": 160.3056}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 0.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 303.5, "id": "ru:54-5-160-5:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 56.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 23, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 509.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.01}, {"avgBrightness": 341.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 196.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1814.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8192, "longitude": 110.141}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -154.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T02:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1462.7, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 32.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 42, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 351.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.04}, {"avgBrightness": 338.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 10.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 110.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.2322, "longitude": 160.9203}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 15.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 208.7, "id": "ru:69-0-161-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 53.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 26, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 319, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.52}, {"avgBrightness": 343.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 9.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.9731, "longitude": 137.4257}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 15, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T01:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 293.3, "id": "ru:58-0-137-5:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 44.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 19, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 303, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.13}, {"avgBrightness": 345.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 154.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 71.1984, "longitude": 72.0388}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -3.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 68.6, "id": "ru:71-0-72-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T02:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.2, "maxFrp": 51.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 223.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.24}, {"avgBrightness": 344, "baselineExpectedCount": 23.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 511.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 60.789, "longitude": 137.8288}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -13.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T01:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -300.2, "id": "ru:61-0-138-0:2026072306", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-23T03:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 354.1, "maxFrp": 73.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 211.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -3.03}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
