---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-26T08:37:53Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-26T08:37:53Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-26T06:01:00.180Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 342.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 524.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 24878.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.4933, "longitude": 155.6941}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 248.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -9913.8, "id": "ru:68-5-155-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 188.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 773, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 14964.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.69}, {"avgBrightness": 345.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 170.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1998.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.0768, "longitude": 117.5486}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -12.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:15:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 144.5, "id": "ru:66-0-117-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 54, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 158, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2143.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.04}, {"avgBrightness": 338.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 414.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 11821.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.4629, "longitude": 157.0496}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -314.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -10589.4, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356, "maxFrp": 42.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 100, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1232, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.08}, {"avgBrightness": 343.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 388.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5427.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8271, "longitude": 110.1119}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -361.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:19:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -4974.7, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 53.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 27, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 452.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.76}, {"avgBrightness": 333.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 414.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 11821.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.7001, "longitude": 156.9342}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -369.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -11450.7, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 346.6, "maxFrp": 39.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 45, "persistenceHours": 4.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 370.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.26}, {"avgBrightness": 339.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 42.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 423.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.4815, "longitude": 117.7404}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -6.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:15:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -161.8, "id": "ru:66-5-117-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 13.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 36, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 261.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.14}, {"avgBrightness": 332.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.4305, "longitude": 32.7948}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 191.3, "id": "ua:50-5-33-0:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:28:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 36.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 193.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 346.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 56.7657, "longitude": 136.7446}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:15:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 127.5, "id": "ru:57-0-136-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T02:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 42.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 127.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 320.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 18.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.2164, "longitude": 33.5767}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 12.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 36.1, "id": "ua:52-0-33-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:28:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 9.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 54.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 10.76}, {"avgBrightness": 305.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 19.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.8919, "longitude": 29.3395}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.1, "id": "ua:52-0-29-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 327, "maxFrp": 2.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 17, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 22.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.56}, {"avgBrightness": 308.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 49.4305, "longitude": 23.4364}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.8, "id": "ua:49-5-23-5:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T01:30:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 314.6, "maxFrp": 2.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 6.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 5.42}, {"avgBrightness": 306.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.8885, "longitude": 56.1488}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.1, "id": "ru:58-0-56-0:2026072606", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-26T00:03:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 310.6, "maxFrp": 2.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 5.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 2.78}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
