---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-02T07:22:21Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-02T07:22:21Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-02T06:04:00.843Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 343.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 211.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2711.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.4839, "longitude": 159.1694}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 129.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2681.2, "id": "ru:57-5-159-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:06:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 131.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 341, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 5392.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.9}, {"avgBrightness": 343, "baselineExpectedCount": 55.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 521, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.0916, "longitude": 130.9267}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 16.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T01:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1543.1, "id": "ru:64-0-131-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 126.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 72, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2064, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.37}, {"avgBrightness": 348.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 13.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 89.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.1328, "longitude": 135.3292}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 27.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 830.8, "id": "ru:64-0-135-5:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 144.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 41, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 920.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.8}, {"avgBrightness": 345, "baselineExpectedCount": 9.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 57.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.0881, "longitude": 135.4257}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 36.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 699.4, "id": "ru:65-0-135-5:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 226.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 46, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 757.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.86}, {"avgBrightness": 348.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5555, "longitude": 83.3115}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 17, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 658.2, "id": "ru:67-5-83-5:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:10:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 106, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 17, "persistenceHours": 2.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 658.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 340.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 28.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 986.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5297, "longitude": 80.146}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -7.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -441.2, "id": "ru:68-5-80-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 104.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 21, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 545.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.56}, {"avgBrightness": 352.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 21, "baselineExpectedFrp": 384.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.6132, "longitude": 160.3022}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 20.2, "id": "ru:54-5-160-5:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 65.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 404.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.22}, {"avgBrightness": 313.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 38.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 148.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5508, "longitude": 39.6212}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 35.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 176.8, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 352.2, "maxFrp": 23.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 74, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 325, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.84}, {"avgBrightness": 316.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 56, "baselineExpectedFrp": 897.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.1639, "longitude": 30.1928}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 19, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -618.4, "id": "ua:51-0-30-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T01:41:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 354.5, "maxFrp": 20.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 75, "persistenceHours": 6.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 278.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.3}, {"avgBrightness": 354, "baselineExpectedCount": 43, "baselineExpectedFrp": 567, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.874, "longitude": 99.21}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -33, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T02:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -295.1, "id": "ru:66-0-99-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:10:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 65.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 271.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.63}, {"avgBrightness": 347.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 15.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 162.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.4388, "longitude": 127.9947}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:43:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 84.7, "id": "ru:65-5-128-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 37.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 17, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 246.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.11}, {"avgBrightness": 344, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 9.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 63.9804, "longitude": 132.7694}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 19, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 191.9, "id": "ru:64-0-133-0:2026070206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-02T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 17.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 201.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
