---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-03T09:33:11Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-03T09:33:11Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-03T09:02:55.761Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 345.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 61.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 710.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.9872, "longitude": 128.0031}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 218.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2529.5, "id": "ru:65-0-128-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 59.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 280, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3240.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.81}, {"avgBrightness": 348.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 10.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 114.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8018, "longitude": 127.7297}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 39.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2833.2, "id": "ru:65-0-127-5:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 179.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 50, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2948.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 8.38}, {"avgBrightness": 345.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 77.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1267.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.0296, "longitude": 132.6147}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 55.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1356.9, "id": "ru:64-0-132-5:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:23:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 251.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 133, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2624.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.47}, {"avgBrightness": 351.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 92.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1723.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 62.3829, "longitude": 83.0335}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T04:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 827.4, "id": "ru:62-5-83-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T06:12:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 191.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 91, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2551.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.02}, {"avgBrightness": 341, "baselineExpectedCount": 235.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3012.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.499, "longitude": 159.1517}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -82.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -873.3, "id": "ru:57-5-159-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 55.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 153, "persistenceHours": 8.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2138.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.55}, {"avgBrightness": 344.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 105.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2647.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.1091, "longitude": 130.9726}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -32.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1098.7, "id": "ru:64-0-131-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:23:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 379.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 73, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1549, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.74}, {"avgBrightness": 347.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 45.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 713.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.1217, "longitude": 92.349}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 54.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T03:28:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 646.3, "id": "ru:64-0-92-5:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T06:12:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 32.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 100, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1360, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.63}, {"avgBrightness": 343, "baselineExpectedCount": 23, "baselineExpectedFrp": 84.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.3945, "longitude": 125.7759}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 55, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1155.5, "id": "ru:66-5-126-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 79.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 78, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1240.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 38.89}, {"avgBrightness": 325.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 93.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2001.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.1603, "longitude": 30.198}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 66.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -813.2, "id": "ua:51-0-30-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:24:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 28.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 160, "persistenceHours": 8.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1188.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.75}, {"avgBrightness": 344.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 71.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1176, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.1229, "longitude": 135.3386}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 62.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T01:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1.9, "id": "ru:64-0-135-5:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T05:06:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 44.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 134, "persistenceHours": 7.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1174.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.27}, {"avgBrightness": 347.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 51.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1250.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.564, "longitude": 83.4457}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -8.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -81.6, "id": "ru:67-5-83-5:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T06:14:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 88.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 43, "persistenceHours": 8.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1168.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.39}, {"avgBrightness": 347.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 28.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 942.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5252, "longitude": 79.9573}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -2.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 223.9, "id": "ru:68-5-80-0:2026070309", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-03T06:14:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 109.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 26, "persistenceHours": 8.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1166.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.21}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
