---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-19T08:30:41Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-19T08:30:41Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-19T06:02:00.403Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 345.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 165.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3115.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5017, "longitude": 156.8102}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 56.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2912.8, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 323.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 222, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 6028.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.66}, {"avgBrightness": 345.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 98.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.8039, "longitude": 72.519}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 16.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 660.8, "id": "ru:68-0-72-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 82.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 24, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 759.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.07}, {"avgBrightness": 354.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 18.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 577.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5492, "longitude": 83.2132}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -9.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -28.9, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:53:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 103.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 9, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 549, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.73}, {"avgBrightness": 344.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.6551, "longitude": 170.7374}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 38, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 465.8, "id": "ru:68-5-170-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 40.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 38, "persistenceHours": 2.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 465.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 332.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 49, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4033.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.7568, "longitude": 38.4197}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -31, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:18:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -3686.4, "id": "ru:56-0-38-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 354, "maxFrp": 25.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 18, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 347, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -2.11}, {"avgBrightness": 354.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.7501, "longitude": 164.6522}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:04:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 328.7, "id": "ru:67-0-164-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 149.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 0.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 328.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 320.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 5.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 29.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.4043, "longitude": 30.3759}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 17.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 194.9, "id": "ua:50-5-30-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T01:24:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 27.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 23, "persistenceHours": 1.1, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 224.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 6.3}, {"avgBrightness": 347.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.2432, "longitude": 160.9092}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 11, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 150.3, "id": "ru:69-0-161-0:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T02:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 24.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 2.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 150.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 310.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 69.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1436, "longitude": 37.8402}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 23.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 38.3, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T01:22:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.5, "maxFrp": 17.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0.98, "observationCount": 40, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 108.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.85}, {"avgBrightness": 312.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 28.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 97.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5514, "longitude": 39.6267}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 18.9, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:18:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.5, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 11.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 47, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 101.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.85}, {"avgBrightness": 317, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 8.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.4099, "longitude": 30.2187}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 8.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:20:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 34.1, "id": "ua:51-5-30-0:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T01:24:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 340.9, "maxFrp": 8.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 42.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 8.73}, {"avgBrightness": 315.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.765, "longitude": 24.2636}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 24, "id": "ru:66-0-24-5:2026071906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-19T03:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 332.5, "maxFrp": 5.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0.78, "observationCount": 9, "persistenceHours": 2.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 24, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
