---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-06-30T07:35:30Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-06-30T07:35:30Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-06-30T06:02:57.923Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 340.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 88.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1216.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.5186, "longitude": 122.4927}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -48.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -575.6, "id": "ru:55-5-122-5:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 61.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 40, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 641.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.68}, {"avgBrightness": 340.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 127.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2861.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.36, "longitude": 125.7964}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -96.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2458.2, "id": "ru:55-5-126-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 89.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 31, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 403.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.97}, {"avgBrightness": 353.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 30.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 963.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5235, "longitude": 79.9553}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -22.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -679.3, "id": "ru:68-5-80-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T02:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 43.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 284, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.75}, {"avgBrightness": 355.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 8.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 66.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.4761, "longitude": 77.1782}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 120.9, "id": "ru:66-5-77-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T01:07:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 40, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 187.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.1}, {"avgBrightness": 340, "baselineExpectedCount": 9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 14.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.921, "longitude": 122.8027}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 164.1, "id": "ru:56-0-123-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.3, "maxFrp": 49.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 178.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0.1}, {"avgBrightness": 343.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 12.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 176.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.6149, "longitude": 123.4685}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 0.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -12.7, "id": "ru:54-5-123-5:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 22.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 163.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0.01}, {"avgBrightness": 302.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 48.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.9013, "longitude": 34.1918}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -45.1, "id": "ua:46-0-34-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T01:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 307.7, "maxFrp": 1.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.86}, {"avgBrightness": 304.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.5302, "longitude": 34.1458}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.4, "id": "ru:59-5-34-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 306, "maxFrp": 1.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 4.69}, {"avgBrightness": 362.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 26.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 935, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5497, "longitude": 83.2071}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -22.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -743.6, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T01:07:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 75.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 191.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -2.25}, {"avgBrightness": 349.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 311.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5260.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 63.6753, "longitude": 170.7851}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -307.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T02:04:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -5098.4, "id": "ru:63-5-171-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T02:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 352.8, "maxFrp": 80.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 162.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.19}, {"avgBrightness": 340.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 49.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 407.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 55.2057, "longitude": 126.9692}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -34.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -258.8, "id": "ru:55-0-127-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T03:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 18.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 15, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 148.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.92}, {"avgBrightness": 345.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8134, "longitude": 169.9324}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T00:58:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 66.8, "id": "ru:65-0-170-0:2026063006", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-06-30T02:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 350.9, "maxFrp": 50.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 1.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 66.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 1, "highRelevanceCount": 8, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 8} |
