---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-04T08:48:59Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-04T08:48:59Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-04T06:03:43.684Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 344.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 190.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5102, "longitude": 156.7088}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 82.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2138.6, "id": "ru:68-5-156-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:30:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 229.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 89, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2329.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 10.22}, {"avgBrightness": 356, "baselineExpectedCount": 30.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 725.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.548, "longitude": 83.2071}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -19.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:56:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -194, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 93.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 531.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.53}, {"avgBrightness": 313.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 8.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 182.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 61.3677, "longitude": 112.8312}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -5.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 236.7, "id": "ru:61-5-113-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:32:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 198.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 418.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.44}, {"avgBrightness": 340.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 246.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3090.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.5395, "longitude": 159.1032}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -188.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2701.9, "id": "ru:57-5-159-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:43:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 18.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 58, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 388.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.28}, {"avgBrightness": 337, "baselineExpectedCount": 24.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 322, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.9164, "longitude": 125.6846}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -52.8, "id": "ru:67-0-125-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:32:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 351.7, "maxFrp": 48.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 30, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 269.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.65}, {"avgBrightness": 315.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 47.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 192.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5478, "longitude": 39.6336}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -0.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 40.1, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:05:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 30, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 47, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 232.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.01}, {"avgBrightness": 343.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 119, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1337.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.979, "longitude": 128.011}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -99, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1109.8, "id": "ru:65-0-128-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.8, "maxFrp": 26.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 228.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.86}, {"avgBrightness": 340.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.6645, "longitude": 123.0531}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 18, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:52:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 171.9, "id": "ru:66-5-123-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:32:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.6, "maxFrp": 20.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 18, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 171.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 340.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 65.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.3881, "longitude": 126.4768}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 10, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 67.3, "id": "ru:67-5-126-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:32:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 23.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 132.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 312.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 18.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 284.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.7051, "longitude": 32.9972}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 23.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -152.8, "id": "ua:46-5-33-0:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:05:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 348.3, "maxFrp": 28.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 42, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 131.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.25}, {"avgBrightness": 326.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.2157, "longitude": 34.382}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 14, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 97.9, "id": "ua:46-0-34-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T01:05:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 349, "maxFrp": 10.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 103.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 9.17}, {"avgBrightness": 338.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 38.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.5636, "longitude": 113.3695}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T00:07:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 49.8, "id": "ru:69-5-113-5:2026070406", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-04T02:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 12.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 12, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 88.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
