---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-15T08:32:15Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-15T08:32:15Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-15T06:04:51.513Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 339.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 66.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1057.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5277, "longitude": 156.7956}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 26.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:43:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 266.5, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 147.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 93, "persistenceHours": 2.6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1324.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.82}, {"avgBrightness": 307.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 11.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 55.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5492, "longitude": 39.6205}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 30.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 58, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 340.3, "maxFrp": 17.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 42, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 113.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 4.24}, {"avgBrightness": 332.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.275, "longitude": 136.4875}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T03:17:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 49.8, "id": "ru:57-5-136-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 336, "maxFrp": 18.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 54.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 3.7}, {"avgBrightness": 307.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 24.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1418, "longitude": 37.8401}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 15.2, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:49:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.9, "maxFrp": 11.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0.94, "observationCount": 18, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 39.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 1.22}, {"avgBrightness": 309.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 4.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 22.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.1746, "longitude": 37.8931}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.8, "id": "ua:51-0-38-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.7, "maxFrp": 5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 24, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 3.19}, {"avgBrightness": 313.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.8151, "longitude": 36.5733}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 23.1, "id": "ua:47-0-36-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.4, "maxFrp": 4.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 23.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 307.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 4.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 18.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8702, "longitude": 35.1608}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2.1, "id": "ua:48-0-35-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 332.3, "maxFrp": 4.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 11, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 21, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.71}, {"avgBrightness": 331.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 11.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.258, "longitude": 31.6748}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.3, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 8.4, "id": "ua:45-5-31-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 351.9, "maxFrp": 10.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 20.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.8}, {"avgBrightness": 310.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 34.7546, "longitude": 36.5887}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5.4, "countryCode": "SY", "countryName": "Syria", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:18:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2.8, "id": "sy:35-0-36-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:18:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 319.9, "maxFrp": 2.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Syria", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 10.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 5.79}, {"avgBrightness": 322, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.3609, "longitude": 30.9088}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 5.5, "id": "ua:45-5-31-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:00:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 329.5, "maxFrp": 2.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 9.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 5.02}, {"avgBrightness": 301.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 53.2655, "longitude": 24.4477}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:58:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.5, "id": "ru:53-5-24-5:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 310.7, "maxFrp": 1.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 5.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 6.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 7.14}, {"avgBrightness": 299.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 56.3157, "longitude": 22.9167}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3.4, "id": "ru:56-5-23-0:2026071506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-15T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 302.2, "maxFrp": 1.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 5.42}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
