---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-25T08:20:59Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-25T08:20:59Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-25T06:01:33.697Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 349.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 410.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 30298.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5403, "longitude": 155.7118}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 350.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -10743.4, "id": "ru:68-5-155-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 475.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 761, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 19555, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.86}, {"avgBrightness": 348.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 448.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12363.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.494, "longitude": 156.9379}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -56.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3085.9, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:38:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 740, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 392, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 15449.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.22}, {"avgBrightness": 350.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 919, "baselineExpectedFrp": 32381.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.3764, "longitude": 156.7144}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -846, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:52:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -25089.7, "id": "ru:68-5-156-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 595.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 73, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 7291.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -2.64}, {"avgBrightness": 340.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 448.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12363.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.614, "longitude": 157.0272}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -366.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -10634.6, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:38:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 119.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 82, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1728.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -1.4}, {"avgBrightness": 346.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 50.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 719.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.8757, "longitude": 166.0888}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -18.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T00:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 143.9, "id": "ru:68-0-166-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T00:09:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.2, "maxFrp": 91.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 32, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 863.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.39}, {"avgBrightness": 322.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 420.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.5005, "longitude": 128.205}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -14.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 213.8, "id": "ru:51-5-128-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:34:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.8, "maxFrp": 141.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 634.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.71}, {"avgBrightness": 346.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 23.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 193.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.0902, "longitude": 117.5512}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 33.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 344.9, "id": "ru:66-0-117-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:38:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 34, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 57, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 538.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.39}, {"avgBrightness": 343.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 24.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 211.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.2759, "longitude": 138.1009}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 267.1, "id": "ru:58-5-138-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 51.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 31, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 479, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.28}, {"avgBrightness": 343.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 147, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.9755, "longitude": 137.4297}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 15.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 310.4, "id": "ru:58-0-137-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 40.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 32, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 457.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.87}, {"avgBrightness": 339.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 41.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 416.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.2909, "longitude": 135.8254}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -12.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:49:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -92.9, "id": "ru:57-5-136-0:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 29, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 323.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.25}, {"avgBrightness": 347.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 147, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.7785, "longitude": 137.6023}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T01:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 120.8, "id": "ru:58-0-137-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 41, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 18, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 267.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.09}, {"avgBrightness": 341.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 17.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 295.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.5533, "longitude": 152.3493}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -4.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T00:09:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -32.4, "id": "ru:65-5-152-5:2026072506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-25T02:36:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.2, "maxFrp": 123.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 5.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 263.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.24}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
