---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-20T09:31:39Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-20T09:31:39Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-20T09:03:52.479Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 346.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 224.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5966.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.7789, "longitude": 164.4922}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 681.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 25312.1, "id": "ru:67-0-164-5:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T03:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 389.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 906, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 31278.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.95}, {"avgBrightness": 343.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 80.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 595.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.0172, "longitude": 84.9595}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 116.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T04:49:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 3908.5, "id": "ru:59-0-85-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 404.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 197, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4504.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.83}, {"avgBrightness": 343.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 204.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3961.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5225, "longitude": 156.8231}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 123.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 38.8, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T03:25:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 64.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 328, "persistenceHours": 9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4000.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.1}, {"avgBrightness": 341.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 95.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 997.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1335, "longitude": 90.9561}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 173.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T04:49:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1980.8, "id": "ru:59-0-91-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 44.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 269, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2978.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.32}, {"avgBrightness": 341.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 79.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 528, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.1923, "longitude": 86.2051}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 33.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T05:06:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1334.5, "id": "ru:58-0-86-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 296.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 113, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1862.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.26}, {"avgBrightness": 347.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 82.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1788.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 62.826, "longitude": 87.5419}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 14.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T04:14:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 45.8, "id": "ru:63-0-87-5:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:48:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 256.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 97, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1834.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.19}, {"avgBrightness": 339.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 97.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1145.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.0906, "longitude": 89.6118}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -26.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T04:49:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 377.1, "id": "ru:59-0-89-5:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 127.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 71, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1522.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.33}, {"avgBrightness": 347.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 50.2611, "longitude": 79.3398}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 21, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:44:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1101.1, "id": "ru:50-5-79-5:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:44:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 118.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 21, "persistenceHours": 0, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1101.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 345.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 681.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5482, "longitude": 83.2097}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 322.1, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:50:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 70.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 24, "persistenceHours": 8.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1003.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.32}, {"avgBrightness": 342.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 179.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3361.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1995, "longitude": 86.6002}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -78.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T04:49:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2424.4, "id": "ru:59-0-86-5:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 28.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 101, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 937.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.26}, {"avgBrightness": 343.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 301.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.8856, "longitude": 76.8901}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 16.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T05:55:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 606.7, "id": "ru:60-0-77-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:48:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 88.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 37, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 908.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.49}, {"avgBrightness": 342.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 15.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 251.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 61.3667, "longitude": 112.8369}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T02:32:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 598.9, "id": "ru:61-5-113-0:2026072009", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-20T06:46:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 166.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 6.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 850.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0.3}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
