---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-11T08:10:38Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-11T08:10:38Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-11T06:00:12.843Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 338.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 312.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 6616.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 62.1145, "longitude": 136.4492}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -250.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T02:51:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -5929.7, "id": "ru:62-0-136-5:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T03:38:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 355.5, "maxFrp": 54.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 62, "persistenceHours": 3.2, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 686.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.92}, {"avgBrightness": 340.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 13, "baselineExpectedFrp": 106, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.5405, "longitude": 137.0201}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 13, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T01:58:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 131.2, "id": "ru:58-5-137-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T03:38:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 354.1, "maxFrp": 38.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 26, "persistenceHours": 4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 237.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.27}, {"avgBrightness": 311.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 19.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1394, "longitude": 37.8289}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 45.3, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:33:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 335, "maxFrp": 16.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 64.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 1.74}, {"avgBrightness": 299.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 53.2638, "longitude": 24.4491}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.7, "id": "ru:53-5-24-5:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T01:28:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 303.5, "maxFrp": 1.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 0.9, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 4.82}, {"avgBrightness": 304.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.9554, "longitude": 22.8678}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1.7, "id": "ua:46-0-23-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T01:30:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 305.8, "maxFrp": 1.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 0.9, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.98}, {"avgBrightness": 342.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 240.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.8753, "longitude": 105.886}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -14.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T03:40:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -203.3, "id": "ru:58-0-106-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T03:40:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 354.8, "maxFrp": 18.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 37, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.5}, {"avgBrightness": 305.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 40.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8708, "longitude": 35.1652}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -6.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -28, "id": "ua:48-0-35-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 330.1, "maxFrp": 2.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 12.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.81}, {"avgBrightness": 327.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 29.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 38.5341, "longitude": 29.5633}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_WILDLAND", "countDelta": 0, "countryCode": "TR", "countryName": "Turkey", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -22.2, "id": "tr:38-5-29-5:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 353.8, "maxFrp": 6.4, "narrativeFlags": ["sustained", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Turkey", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 7, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 330.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.4618, "longitude": 158.158}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T01:56:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -0.5, "id": "ru:52-5-158-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T01:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 330.5, "maxFrp": 3.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 1, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 3.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.95}, {"avgBrightness": 303.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 5.1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 6.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.787, "longitude": 28.9847}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -3.1, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -3, "id": "ua:48-0-29-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 305.5, "maxFrp": 1.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 3.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.17}, {"avgBrightness": 306.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.46, "longitude": 36.6409}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -9.3, "id": "ua:45-5-36-5:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 308.8, "maxFrp": 1.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 2.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -0.51}, {"avgBrightness": 299.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.7393, "longitude": 33.7688}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -1.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -11.5, "id": "ua:45-5-34-0:2026071106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-11T00:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 301.8, "maxFrp": 0.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "sustained", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 2, "persistenceHours": 18, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 1.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.14}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 11, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 5, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 5} |
| dataAvailable | true |
