---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-21T08:41:55Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-21T08:41:55Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-21T06:02:08.443Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 342.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 246.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4299.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.5282, "longitude": 156.8608}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -106.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 49.7, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:11:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 423.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 140, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4348.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.91}, {"avgBrightness": 339.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 69.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 559, "centroid": {"latitude": 65.2944, "longitude": 149.652}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 34.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 259.3, "id": "ru:65-5-149-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 23, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 104, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 818.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.44}, {"avgBrightness": 340, "baselineExpectedCount": 563.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 17212.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.7707, "longitude": 164.4881}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -519.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -16652.5, "id": "ru:67-0-164-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 357, "maxFrp": 79.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 44, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 560.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.19}, {"avgBrightness": 347.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8004, "longitude": 144.3048}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 24, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 433.9, "id": "ru:65-0-144-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 43.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 24, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 433.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 345.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.9201, "longitude": 157.0989}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 10, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 97.3, "id": "ru:70-0-157-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:11:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 23.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 1.6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 97.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 311.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.8506, "longitude": 33.9842}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 2.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:48:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 8.9, "id": "ua:45-0-34-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:48:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 323.5, "maxFrp": 4.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 5.2, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 11.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 3.23}, {"avgBrightness": 358.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 23.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 815.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5487, "longitude": 83.2094}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -17.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:37:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -513.7, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T01:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 97.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 5.4, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 301.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.55}, {"avgBrightness": 308.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 40.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 156.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5508, "longitude": 39.6314}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -4.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:45:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -32.5, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T01:20:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 22.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 36, "persistenceHours": 5.3, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 124.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.18}, {"avgBrightness": 357.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 5.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 49.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 69.3734, "longitude": 88.1165}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -0.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T01:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 66.3, "id": "ru:69-5-88-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 31.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 4.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 115.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.17}, {"avgBrightness": 348.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 63.5949, "longitude": 151.0652}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:33:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 54, "id": "ru:63-5-151-0:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T01:05:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 12.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 5.5, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 54.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 324.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 14.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.6492, "longitude": 24.4239}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T00:43:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 7.8, "id": "ru:64-5-24-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:24:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 338.6, "maxFrp": 4.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0.57, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 5.3, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 22.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.18}, {"avgBrightness": 353.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 62.3478, "longitude": 149.6546}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T01:05:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 18.6, "id": "ru:62-5-149-5:2026072106", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-21T02:11:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 8.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 1.1, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 18.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 4, "highRelevanceCount": 6, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 6} |
| dataAvailable | true |
