---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-29T08:53:02Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-29T08:53:02Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-29T06:00:49.542Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 336.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 23.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 294.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.3163, "longitude": 108.7716}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 30.8, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2113.7, "id": "ru:64-5-109-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.5, "maxFrp": 179, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "persistent", "sustained"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 54, "persistenceHours": 12, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_PERSISTENT", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 2407.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 1.22}, {"avgBrightness": 345.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 805, "baselineExpectedFrp": 11092.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.1061, "longitude": 117.5961}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -412, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -3932.4, "id": "ru:66-0-117-5:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 139.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 393, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 7160, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.52}, {"avgBrightness": 341.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.7436, "longitude": 110.1864}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 49, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 1298.7, "id": "ru:64-5-110-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 82, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 49, "persistenceHours": 0.3, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1298.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 343, "baselineExpectedCount": 382.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3132.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.4889, "longitude": 117.7343}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -228.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1938.2, "id": "ru:66-5-117-5:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 26.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 154, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 1193.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.63}, {"avgBrightness": 337.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 502.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 7265.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8732, "longitude": 109.9764}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -472.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -6829.9, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356, "maxFrp": 33.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 30, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 435.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.35}, {"avgBrightness": 342, "baselineExpectedCount": 150.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1987.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.1016, "longitude": 118.9185}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -110.9, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:00:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1559.1, "id": "ru:66-0-119-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 88.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 40, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 428, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -1.18}, {"avgBrightness": 317.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 12.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.6792, "longitude": 30.0159}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -2.8, "id": "ua:47-5-30-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 325.4, "maxFrp": 4.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 9.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.81}, {"avgBrightness": 306.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 8.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8682, "longitude": 33.4226}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 0.3, "id": "ua:48-0-33-5:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 336.2, "maxFrp": 1.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 9, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 8.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.82}, {"avgBrightness": 309.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.3643, "longitude": 42.1679}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 1.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:30:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -1, "id": "ru:58-5-42-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:48:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 321.5, "maxFrp": 2.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 3, "persistenceHours": 0.3, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 3.18}, {"avgBrightness": 346.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 36.3837, "longitude": 32.199}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_WILDLAND", "countDelta": 14, "countryCode": "TR", "countryName": "Turkey", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 240.9, "id": "tr:36-5-32-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 22.1, "narrativeFlags": ["spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 14, "persistenceHours": 0.4, "regionLabel": "Turkey", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 240.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 332.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 14.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 574.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 36.3537, "longitude": 29.4168}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_WILDLAND", "countDelta": 5.3, "countryCode": "TR", "countryName": "Turkey", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:35:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -410.9, "id": "tr:36-5-29-5:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 19.2, "narrativeFlags": ["spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Turkey", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 163.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.57}, {"avgBrightness": 355.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 18.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 633.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5486, "longitude": 83.2085}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -13.6, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -505, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026072906", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-29T02:04:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 54.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_NORMAL", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_MEDIUM", "totalFrp": 128.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": -1.01}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 10, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 9, "persistentCount": 1, "spikeCount": 10} |
| dataAvailable | true |
