---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-08-15T06:54:27Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-08-15T06:54:27Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-08-15T06:00:41.963Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 355, "baselineExpectedCount": 14.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 288.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5464, "longitude": 83.2128}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -6.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:26:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 24.5, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 46.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 5.6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 313.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.62}, {"avgBrightness": 360.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 19, "baselineExpectedFrp": 215.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.6125, "longitude": 160.3078}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -11, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 57.5, "id": "ru:54-5-160-5:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:37:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 40.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 273.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.52}, {"avgBrightness": 306.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 12, "baselineExpectedFrp": 115.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.3649, "longitude": 33.1618}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 37, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -51.1, "id": "ua:46-5-33-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.4, "maxFrp": 3.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 49, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 64, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 4.17}, {"avgBrightness": 308.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 15.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 48.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1417, "longitude": 37.8367}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 18.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 14.8, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:52:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 339.4, "maxFrp": 4.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 34, "persistenceHours": 1.7, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 62.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 1.24}, {"avgBrightness": 311.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 10.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 112.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.7949, "longitude": 29.8729}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 20.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -50.4, "id": "ua:46-0-30-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:20:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 347.1, "maxFrp": 8.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 31, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 61.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.62}, {"avgBrightness": 313.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 52, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.3563, "longitude": 32.5503}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 15.2, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 9.4, "id": "ua:46-5-32-5:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 350.3, "maxFrp": 8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 22, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 61.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.27}, {"avgBrightness": 302.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 12, "baselineExpectedFrp": 115.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.4262, "longitude": 32.8559}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 22, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -76.6, "id": "ua:46-5-33-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.2, "maxFrp": 4.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 34, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 38.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 2.48}, {"avgBrightness": 312.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 46.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.2066, "longitude": 22.903}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 11, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -9.8, "id": "ua:44-0-23-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:20:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 330, "maxFrp": 3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 36.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.03}, {"avgBrightness": 306.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 13.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 202.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.1897, "longitude": 32.7792}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 9.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -166.6, "id": "ua:46-0-33-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:35:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 343.7, "maxFrp": 3.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 23, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 35.5, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.44}, {"avgBrightness": 306.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 12.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 103.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 45.0184, "longitude": 22.1755}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:16:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -76.9, "id": "ua:45-0-22-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 325.1, "maxFrp": 2.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 19, "persistenceHours": 5.7, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 26.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.31}, {"avgBrightness": 303.9, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 30, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8829, "longitude": 32.6707}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 10.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -11, "id": "ua:48-0-32-5:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 322, "maxFrp": 1.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 17, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 19, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.81}, {"avgBrightness": 312.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 10.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.0848, "longitude": 38.1814}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T00:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 7.1, "id": "ru:54-0-38-0:2026081506", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-08-15T01:15:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.5, "maxFrp": 5.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 17.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 3.73}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
