---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-18T08:05:54Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-18T08:05:54Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-18T06:01:51.676Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 345.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 130.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2585, "centroid": {"latitude": 68.4983, "longitude": 156.7663}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 140.5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:24:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2263.8, "id": "ru:68-5-157-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T03:08:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 135.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 271, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 4848.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.51}, {"avgBrightness": 348.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 532.5, "centroid": {"latitude": 67.5482, "longitude": 83.208}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -8.2, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T02:11:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -160.7, "id": "ru:67-5-83-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T03:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 63.3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 8, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 371.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": -0.68}, {"avgBrightness": 308.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 20.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 64.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 52.5489, "longitude": 39.6265}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 32.6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 96.9, "id": "ua:52-5-39-5:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.1, "maxFrp": 13.6, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 53, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 161, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.24}, {"avgBrightness": 312, "baselineExpectedCount": 16.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 92.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 44.2004, "longitude": 23.1909}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 32.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -12.2, "id": "ua:44-0-23-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T01:45:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 332.7, "maxFrp": 7.7, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 49, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 79.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.46}, {"avgBrightness": 311.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 15.7, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.0878, "longitude": 34.0095}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 19, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 31.9, "id": "ua:46-0-34-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 338.5, "maxFrp": 3, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 27, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 47.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 309.3, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 26.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.175, "longitude": 37.8901}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7.5, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 10.5, "id": "ua:51-0-38-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 332.1, "maxFrp": 4.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 15, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 36.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.28}, {"avgBrightness": 317.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.2, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.218, "longitude": 34.1005}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 11.8, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 29.5, "id": "ua:51-0-34-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 337.5, "maxFrp": 3.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 30.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 17.67}, {"avgBrightness": 307.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.4, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4, "centroid": {"latitude": 48.5002, "longitude": 34.63}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 11.6, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 21.9, "id": "ua:48-5-34-5:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328, "maxFrp": 4.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 14, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 25.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 6.92}, {"avgBrightness": 305.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 6.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 20.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 47.8712, "longitude": 35.1599}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 2, "id": "ua:48-0-35-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 323.6, "maxFrp": 3.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 13, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 22.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 1.74}, {"avgBrightness": 309.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 3, "centroid": {"latitude": 46.592, "longitude": 32.6653}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 6.7, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 11.7, "id": "ua:46-5-32-5:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:58:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 328.5, "maxFrp": 3.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 10, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 14.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 2.97}, {"avgBrightness": 307.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 6.6, "centroid": {"latitude": 48.9757, "longitude": 24.7109}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.8, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:03:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 5.7, "id": "ua:49-0-24-5:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T01:43:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 313.2, "maxFrp": 2.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 12.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 5.42}, {"avgBrightness": 302.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 2.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.4, "centroid": {"latitude": 54.2289, "longitude": 38.903}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:01:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 5.3, "id": "ru:54-0-39-0:2026071806", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-18T00:56:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 313.2, "maxFrp": 2.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 9.7, "uniqueSourceCount": 3, "zScore": 4.03}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 0, "highRelevanceCount": 12, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 12} |
| dataAvailable | true |
