---
source: "NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)"
source_key: "thermal-escalations"
endpoint: "/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations"
retrieved: "2026-07-12T08:29:46Z"
license: "US-Gov-public-domain"
attribution: "Data: NASA FIRMS via WorldMonitor (api.worldmonitor.app)"
---

# NASA FIRMS (VIIRS thermal anomalies, clustered into escalation signals)

> L1 source pull — `thermal-escalations` from `/api/thermal/v1/list-thermal-escalations` at 2026-07-12T08:29:46Z. Verbatim transform; never edit by hand.

| field | value |
| --- | --- |
| fetchedAt | 2026-07-12T06:01:21.328Z |
| observationWindowHours | 24 |
| sourceVersion | thermal-escalation-v1 |
| clusters | [{"avgBrightness": 343.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 3.9, "baselineExpectedFrp": 36.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 63.1573, "longitude": 94.9011}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5.1, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:23:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 295.8, "id": "ru:63-0-95-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:23:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 51.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 9, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 332.1, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0.7}, {"avgBrightness": 342.4, "baselineExpectedCount": 5, "baselineExpectedFrp": 4.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.8502, "longitude": 136.7043}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 11, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T01:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 271.1, "id": "ru:60-0-136-5:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 42.4, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 275.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 341.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 83.3, "baselineExpectedFrp": 702, "centroid": {"latitude": 64.8457, "longitude": 110.1804}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": -63.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T02:36:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -459.6, "id": "ru:65-0-110-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 356.6, "maxFrp": 35.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 20, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 242.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": -0.93}, {"avgBrightness": 340.5, "baselineExpectedCount": 14, "baselineExpectedFrp": 133.8, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.3072, "longitude": 137.233}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T01:41:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 63.6, "id": "ru:57-5-137-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:17:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 17.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 18, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 197.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 340.2, "baselineExpectedCount": 21.8, "baselineExpectedFrp": 178, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.5316, "longitude": 137.0079}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_HIGH", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T02:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": -25.7, "id": "ru:58-5-137-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 10.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 25, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 152.3, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0.14}, {"avgBrightness": 311.8, "baselineExpectedCount": 7.7, "baselineExpectedFrp": 26.3, "centroid": {"latitude": 59.1418, "longitude": 37.8378}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 8.3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 16.5, "id": "ru:59-0-38-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T00:13:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 334.6, "maxFrp": 9.2, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "night_activity"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 16, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 42.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 1.23}, {"avgBrightness": 333, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 66.1255, "longitude": 118.8368}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 7, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T02:36:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 32.2, "id": "ru:66-0-119-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:21:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 339.3, "maxFrp": 8.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 7, "persistenceHours": 0.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 32.2, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 301.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1.6, "baselineExpectedFrp": 5.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 51.2569, "longitude": 37.7367}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3.4, "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T00:13:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 0.5, "id": "ua:51-5-37-5:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T01:07:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 307.4, "maxFrp": 1.9, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "spike", "multi_source", "night_activity", "above_baseline"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 1, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 5.8, "regionLabel": "Ukraine", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_SPIKE", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_HIGH", "totalFrp": 6.4, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 4.86}, {"avgBrightness": 341.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0.9, "centroid": {"latitude": 57.9378, "longitude": 134.3784}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 44.9, "id": "ru:58-0-134-5:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 351.6, "maxFrp": 8.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 45.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 352.7, "baselineExpectedCount": 1, "baselineExpectedFrp": 2.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 63.5567, "longitude": 129.6437}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 3, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 38.7, "id": "ru:63-5-129-5:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 367, "maxFrp": 13.8, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 4, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 40.8, "uniqueSourceCount": 1, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 336.1, "baselineExpectedCount": 2, "baselineExpectedFrp": 1.1, "centroid": {"latitude": 60.9876, "longitude": 137.4529}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_MEDIUM", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 4, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T02:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 37.8, "id": "ru:61-0-137-5:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 343.1, "maxFrp": 8.1, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 6, "persistenceHours": 6, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 38.9, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}, {"avgBrightness": 341.6, "baselineExpectedCount": 0, "baselineExpectedFrp": 0, "centroid": {"latitude": 58.312, "longitude": 138.2464}, "confidence": "THERMAL_CONFIDENCE_LOW", "context": "THERMAL_CONTEXT_CONFLICT_ADJACENT", "countDelta": 5, "countryCode": "RU", "countryName": "Russia", "firstDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T02:34:00.000Z", "frpDelta": 37.6, "id": "ru:58-5-138-0:2026071206", "lastDetectedAt": "2026-07-12T03:19:00.000Z", "maxBrightness": 353.6, "maxFrp": 16.5, "narrativeFlags": ["conflict_adjacent", "multi_source"], "nearbyAssets": [], "nightDetectionShare": 0, "observationCount": 5, "persistenceHours": 0.8, "regionLabel": "Russia", "status": "THERMAL_STATUS_ELEVATED", "strategicRelevance": "THERMAL_RELEVANCE_LOW", "totalFrp": 37.6, "uniqueSourceCount": 2, "zScore": 0}] |
| summary | {"clusterCount": 12, "conflictAdjacentCount": 12, "elevatedCount": 4, "highRelevanceCount": 8, "persistentCount": 0, "spikeCount": 8} |
| dataAvailable | true |
